African Voice and Data Bandwidth Forecasts (2006 – 2011)

African Voice and Data Bandwidth Forecasts (2006-2011) provide a written overview of the bandwidth forecasts that describes the overall drivers of growth in the market, both at a general level and within specific markets.

This introductory overview is accompanied by three sets of Excel workbooks that provide the following:

• a baseline forecast (based on average global growth);

• the chosen Balancing Act scenario, showing medium-growth;

• the high-growth scenario.

Each looks at available data from 1999-2005 and provides projections from 2006-2011.

There are two separately sold versions of the African Voice and Data Bandwidth Forecasts (2006-2011):

A Static version: In this version, the user gets all of the data but does not have access to the underlying assumptions. Nevertheless it provides an authoritative set of voice and data projects and the user can either accept the growth scenario chosen by our analysts or use one of the two alternative scenarios provided.

An Interactive version: In this version, the users have the ability to change the main assumptions that drive the model. They can also add in their own traffic on a country basis to discover what level of market share they have and indeed might also be able to put in estimates of their competitors market share.

To see the full features of the interactive version, click here to download the instructions for this version:

Within the three workbooks on this CD-ROM, there are 14 spreadsheets covering the following:

1. a set of “headline” summary figures; sub-regional forecasts;

2. broadband internet bandwidth;

3. International IP Internet Bandwidth Forecasts;

dial-up bandwidth;

4. SNO voice and data traffic;

5. grey market VoIP traffic;

6. cellular traffic;

7. gross forecasts for incumbent operators;

8. international internet bandwidth;

9. an overview of fibre and micro-wave links;

10. an overview of satellite service;

11. annual price movements in voice (actual);

12. annual price movements in voice (projected).

About the authors

Paul Hamilton, an independent consultant specialising in African telecommunication markets, is an associate of Balancing Act. Formerly the Telecoms Research Manager at World Markets Research Centre (WMRC), he has undertaken a range of research, analysis and consulting assignments for operators, vendors, NGOs and regulators. He continues to write for WMRC (now Global Insight) as the African telecom analyst, and other key publications.

Russell Southwood is the Chief Executive of Balancing Act and the Editor of its weekly e-letter on telecoms, internet and computing News Update. As a consultant, he has worked for a variety of clients looking at: the demand for fibre infrastructure in Africa over the next five years; the creation of a regional internet exchange point; the future for VoIP services in Africa ; the development of local internet content and services; and policy development.

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